Market Summary

PEPE/USDT is in a multi-week downtrend with oversold conditions, requiring a break above 0.00000450 to signal any reversal. Confidence is medium due to conflicting momentum signals.

Market State

The daily chart shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish macro trend. Price is currently in a decline phase with selling pressure dominant, as evidenced by ADX with Minus DI above Plus DI.

Key Levels

• Resistance: 0.00000450, 0.00000500
• Support: 0.00000380, 0.00000310

Scenarios

Bull Case If buying momentum returns, price could bounce from oversold RSI levels and break above 0.00000450, targeting 0.00000500 over weeks. However, this is opposed by the bearish ADX structure and negative CMF, requiring confirmation with a daily close above 0.00000450.

Bear Case The downtrend continues, with price failing to hold 0.00000380 and dropping towards 0.00000310. This is supported by the ADX bearish alignment and high sell signals in summaries. Confirmation would be a break below 0.00000380.

Most Likely Path Given the bearish trend structure and Minus DI dominance on the daily timeframe, the most likely path is further downside, with a break below 0.00000380 confirming the bearish direction.

Trade Setup

• Direction: SHORT
• Entry Zone: 0.00000420–0.00000450
• Stop Loss: 0.00000500 — above major resistance
• Targets: T1: 0.00000400 | T2: 0.00000380
• R/R: 1:2
• Confidence: Medium

Risks

• Invalidation: A daily close above 0.00000500 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
• Warning: Oversold RSI could lead to sharp bounces, increasing volatility.