تحليل AI لـ BTC متوسط الأجل
Position data not available for this analysis
هذا التحليل باللغة الإنجليزية. حمّل التطبيق للحصول على تحليلات AI باللغة العربية — نقاط الدخول والأهداف ومستويات المخاطر لأكثر من 9000 عملة.
MARKET STRUCTURE: BTC/USDT is currently in a corrective phase after reaching recent highs above 116,000. The 4h timeframe shows a weakening downtrend with prices consolidating around 107,500-108,000, while the 1h timeframe indicates oversold conditions (RSI at 29.29), suggesting a potential bounce or reversal in the short term. Overall, the trend is bearish on higher timeframes but shows signs of exhaustion, making a bullish swing setup plausible.
SWING SETUP:
- Direction: BUY
- Entry Zone: 107,000 - 108,000
- Ideal Entry: 107,500
- Setup Type: Trend Reversal
- Confidence: Medium
POSITION MANAGEMENT:
- Stop Loss: 106,500 (below recent swing low and key support)
- Target 1: 110,000 (conservative, 3-5 days)
- Target 2: 112,000 (extended, 7-10 days)
- Risk/Reward: 1:2.5 (based on 500-point risk vs. 1250-point average reward)
KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:
- Major Support: 107,400 (recent 1h low, tested multiple times)
- Major Resistance: 111,000 (previous swing high and Fibonacci 0.382 level)
- If price breaks 106,500 → Expect further decline to 105,000
- If price holds 107,400 → Likely bounce towards 110,000
DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS:
- Bullish RSI divergence on 1h timeframe: RSI made a low of 29.29 while price tested 107,400, indicating potential reversal. No clear chart patterns observed in recent candles.
RISK FACTORS:
- Continued bearish momentum could invalidate the setup if price breaks below 106,500.
- Low volume or lack of follow-through buying may limit upside.
- Macro factors or external news could drive volatility against the position.