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BTCAnalyse IA BTC Moyen terme

DirectionNeutral
Confidence65%
Risk Medium

Entry Zones

Optimal90,200
Alternative90,000

Stop Loss

89,500

Take Profit Targets

TP193,000
TP294,000
TP393,543

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MARKET STRUCTURE: BTC is in a corrective phase after reaching a recent high near 93543, with current price retracing upwards to test the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 91317. The 4h trend is weak with ADX below 30, indicating consolidation or a lack of strong directional momentum, while the 1h timeframe shows bullish momentum but is approaching resistance levels.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: SHORT
  • Entry Zone: 91300-91700
  • Ideal Entry: 91500
  • Setup Type: Reversal at Fibonacci resistance
  • Confidence: Medium

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: 92000 (above the recent 1h high and Fibonacci confluence)
  • Target 1: 90000 (conservative, 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: 88000 (extended, 7-10 days)
  • Risk/Reward: 1:3

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 87719.28 (recent swing low from 4h data)
  • Major Resistance: 93543.04 (recent swing high from 4h data)
  • If price breaks 92000 → Expect bullish continuation towards 93500+
  • If price holds 91500 → Expect bearish decline towards 90000

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS: No clear bullish or bearish divergences detected between price and indicators like RSI on 1h or 4h timeframes within the provided data.

RISK FACTORS: The weak trend on 4h increases the risk of range-bound movement, potentially invalidating swing setups. A break above 92000 would negate the SHORT setup, while a break below 89500 could undermine LONG positions. Leverage should be used cautiously due to moderate volatility.