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DOTAnalyse IA DOT Moyen terme

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MARKET STRUCTURE: DOT/USDT is in a short-term bullish trend on the 4h timeframe, with the current price at 3.217 indicating a recovery from recent lows. The trend is supported by a high ADX of 40.48 on 4h, suggesting strong directional movement, but momentum indicators like MACD show some weakening, placing the asset in a potential consolidation phase within an uptrend.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: BUY
  • Entry Zone: 3.15 - 3.18
  • Ideal Entry: 3.16
  • Setup Type: Trend continuation
  • Confidence: Medium

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: 3.03 (below the key swing low at 3.037)
  • Target 1: 3.30 (conservative, 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: 3.45 (extended, 7-10 days)
  • Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:1.1 for Target 1, 1:2.2 for Target 2

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 3.037 (recent swing low, critical for trend integrity)
  • Major Resistance: 3.265 (recent swing high, breakout target)
  • If price breaks 3.265 → Expect acceleration towards 3.40
  • If price holds 3.15 → Likely bounce and continuation of uptrend

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS: No significant bullish or bearish divergences detected between price and RSI or MACD on 1h and 4h timeframes over the past several days. The price action shows a series of higher lows, supporting the bullish structure.

RISK FACTORS: Weak momentum on the 1h timeframe (ADX at 14.22) and inconsistent volume could lead to a breakdown below 3.037 support, invalidating the bullish setup. Broader market volatility may also impact trend sustainability.