Analyses IA gratuites de cryptomonnaies

Repérez les bonnes opportunités — l'IA analyse les points d'entrée, les objectifs et les risques à votre place.

Free AI Analysis Sample
1010 analyses
Moyen termeNouveau TradeSpot

ETHAnalyse IA ETH Moyen terme

Position data not available for this analysis

Cette analyse est en anglais. Téléchargez l'application pour obtenir des analyses IA en français — points d'entrée, objectifs et niveaux de risque pour plus de 9000 cryptos.

Télécharger sur l'
App Store

ETH/USDT Medium-Term Market Analysis

1. Summary

The ETH/USDT pair is currently showing mixed signals, with short-term bearish pressure but medium-term bullish potential. The 1-hour timeframe indicates a recent downtrend, while the 4-hour timeframe suggests a possible recovery if key support levels hold.

2. Technical Indicator Analysis

1-Hour Timeframe (Bearish Short-Term Pressure)

  • Sell signals dominate (27 vs. 17 buy signals in the latest candle).
  • MACD (-10.35, signal -6.63, histogram -3.73) – Bearish momentum.
  • RSI (39.04) – Approaching oversold but not yet extreme.
  • EMA (EMA9 < EMA20) – Short-term bearish crossover.
  • DMI (Plus DI 13.62, Minus DI 26.68) – Bearish trend strength.
  • Ichimoku Cloud (Senkou Span A < Senkou Span B) – Bearish cloud structure.

4-Hour Timeframe (Bullish Medium-Term Structure)

  • Buy signals outweigh sells (19 vs. 21 in latest candle).
  • ADX (37.97, Plus DI 26.70, Minus DI 14.07) – Strong bullish trend.
  • MACD (47.57, signal 58.32, histogram -10.75) – Bullish but weakening.
  • RSI (53.20) – Neutral, no extreme overbought/oversold.
  • Ichimoku Cloud (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B) – Bullish cloud structure.
  • Supertrend (2554.86, direction up) – Confirms bullish bias.

3. Price Analysis

  • Recent downtrend (1H): ETH dropped from 2773.21 to 2719.79, testing support at 2711.94.
  • Medium-term uptrend (4H): ETH remains above key support at 2695.45 (last lower fractal).
  • Volatility: ATR (30.69 on 1H, 58.55 on 4H) suggests medium-term volatility remains elevated.

4. Support and Resistance Levels

Key Support Levels (Bullish Defense Needed)

  • Immediate Support: 2711.94 (recent swing low).
  • Strong Support: 2695.45 (4H fractal support).
  • Major Support: 2642.98 (Supertrend level).

Key Resistance Levels (Breakout Targets)

  • Immediate Resistance: 2758.34 (EMA20 on 1H).
  • Next Resistance: 2795.58 (Kijun-Sen on 4H).
  • Major Resistance: 2831.21 (upper Donchian channel).

5. Medium-Term Outlook

  • Bullish if support holds: A bounce from 2695-2711 could retest 2795-2831.
  • Bearish if breakdown occurs: A drop below 2695 may target 2642 (Supertrend support).
  • MACD divergence (4H): If MACD turns upward, expect a bullish continuation.

6. Risk Factors

  • Short-term weakness: High sell signals on 1H suggest further downside risk.
  • Liquidity zones: A break below 2695 could trigger stop-losses, accelerating declines.
  • Market sentiment: If Bitcoin weakens, ETH may follow.
  • Volume decline: Lower volume on recent candles suggests caution.

Final Thoughts

  • Short-term: Bearish pressure, watch 2711-2695 support.
  • Medium-term: Bullish structure intact if 2695 holds.
  • Trade idea: Consider long positions near 2695-2711 with a stop below 2642, targeting 2795-2831.

(Note: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research.)