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中期新規取引先物

ETHETH 中期 AI分析

DirectionNeutral
Confidence60%
Risk Medium

Entry Zones

Optimal3,010
Alternative3,000

Stop Loss

2,970

Take Profit Targets

TP13,050
TP23,077
TP33,100

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MARKET STRUCTURE: ETH/USDT is currently in a consolidation phase on the 4h timeframe, trading within a range of approximately 3000 to 3077. The trend is weak with ADX at 23.36, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum, and price is hovering near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent swing low to high. This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish bias but with potential for a breakout in either direction over the medium term.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: WAIT
  • Entry Zone: For LONG: 3000-3020; For SHORT: 3060-3077
  • Ideal Entry: LONG near 3010; SHORT near 3070
  • Setup Type: Range-bound / Potential breakout
  • Confidence: Medium

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: For LONG: 2970 (below key support); For SHORT: 3080 (above resistance)
  • Target 1: For LONG: 3050 (conservative, 3-5 days); For SHORT: 3020 (conservative, 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: For LONG: 3077 (extended, 7-10 days); For SHORT: 3000 (extended, 7-10 days)
  • Risk/Reward: For LONG, approximately 1:1 to 1:1.7; For SHORT, approximately 1:1 to 1:1.5

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 3000 (tested multiple times in recent data), 2985 (recent swing low)
  • Major Resistance: 3077 (recent swing high), 3044 (Fibonacci 0.382 level)
  • If price breaks above 3077 → Expect bullish continuation toward 3100 or higher
  • If price holds below 3000 → Expect bearish decline toward 2980 or lower

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS:

  • No significant divergences detected between price and indicators like RSI or MACD on 1h or 4h timeframes. Price action shows a ranging pattern with occasional volatility spikes, but no clear reversal or continuation patterns are evident.

RISK FACTORS:

  • A break below the 3000 support level could trigger a sell-off, invalidating any long setups.
  • Low momentum and external market factors may increase volatility, leading to false breakouts.
  • Leverage should be used cautiously due to the range-bound nature and moderate risk tolerance.