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중기새 거래현물

BTCBTC 중기 AI 분석

DirectionBullish
Confidence60%
Risk Medium

Entry Zones

Optimal86,700
Alternative86,500

Stop Loss

86,000

Take Profit Targets

TP189,000
TP290,000
TP391,000

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MARKET STRUCTURE: BTC/USDT is in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish bias on the 4h timeframe, as price has recovered from recent lows around 84237.7 to current 87940.01. The trend strength is moderate, with ADX values ranging 28-51 indicating a trending market, but recent weakness suggests caution. We are likely in the early phase of a potential uptrend, with key support levels holding.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: LONG
  • Entry Zone: 86500 - 87500
  • Ideal Entry: 86700
  • Setup Type: Trend continuation bounce from support
  • Confidence: Medium

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: 86000 (placed below key Fibonacci 0.618 retracement at approximately 86144.5 and recent low of 85272)
  • Target 1: 89000 (conservative target near recent resistance at 89228, achievable in 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: 90000 (extended target for 7-10 days, based on higher timeframe resistance)
  • Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3.3 (700 risk vs 2300 reward to Target 1)

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 86000 (confluence of Fibonacci 0.618 level and recent lows from 1h/4h data)
  • Major Resistance: 89000 (based on recent swing highs like 89228)
  • If price breaks 89000 → Expect uptrend continuation towards 90000+
  • If price holds 86000 → Expect bounce and test of resistance zones

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS: No clear bullish or bearish divergences detected between price and RSI on 1h or 4h timeframes. Price action shows potential support bounce from the 86500-87500 zone, with RSI improving from oversold levels on 4h.

RISK FACTORS: A break below 86000 support could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to further declines towards 85272 or lower. High volatility and external market factors may increase risk.