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DOGEDOGE 중기 AI 분석

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MARKET STRUCTURE: DOGE/USDT is in a bearish trend on the 4h timeframe, with ADX values rising above 40 indicating strengthening downward momentum. The current phase is oversold with RSI at 38.04, suggesting a potential bounce, but the overall trend structure remains weak and in a late decline phase.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: BUY
  • Entry Zone: 0.177 - 0.179
  • Ideal Entry: 0.178
  • Setup Type: Oversold Reversal
  • Confidence: Low

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: 0.174 (below key support to manage risk)
  • Target 1: 0.182 (conservative, 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: 0.185 (extended, 7-10 days)
  • Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:1 for Target 1

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 0.175 (recent swing low from 4h candles, critical for bounce)
  • Major Resistance: 0.184 (recent swing high, tested multiple times)
  • If price breaks below 0.175, expect further decline toward 0.170.
  • If price holds above 0.177, potential bounce to 0.182 or higher.

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS: No clear bullish or bearish divergences detected between price and indicators like RSI on the 4h or 1h timeframes in the provided data. The chart shows a descending structure with no prominent reversal patterns.

RISK FACTORS: The bearish trend could persist, leading to a breakdown below support. Low volume or external market pressures may invalidate the oversold bounce setup. Prioritize risk management with tight stops.