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XRPXRP 중기 AI 분석

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MARKET STRUCTURE XRP/USDT is in a clear uptrend on the 4h timeframe with higher highs and higher lows established over recent days. The current price action shows a healthy pullback within the broader bullish structure, indicating this is likely a consolidation phase before the next leg up. The trend remains intact with momentum indicators supporting further upside potential.

SWING SETUP

  • Direction: BUY
  • Entry Zone: $2.35 - $2.40
  • Ideal Entry: $2.37 - $2.38
  • Setup Type: Trend continuation pullback
  • Confidence: Medium-High

POSITION MANAGEMENT

  • Stop Loss: $2.28 (below recent swing low and key support)
  • Target 1: $2.55 - $2.58 (3-5 days, near recent resistance)
  • Target 2: $2.65 - $2.70 (7-10 days, extended Fibonacci extension)
  • Risk/Reward: 1:2.5 (based on $2.37 entry to $2.58 target)

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS

  • Major Support: $2.35 - $2.38 (confluence of Fibonacci 0.382 retracement, EMA support, and previous resistance turned support)
  • Major Resistance: $2.52 - $2.55 (recent swing highs and psychological resistance)
  • If price breaks $2.55 → Expect acceleration toward $2.65-2.70 zone
  • If price holds $2.35 → Look for bullish reversal patterns for entry confirmation

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS

  • Bullish RSI divergence forming on 4h timeframe (price making lower lows while RSI making higher lows during recent pullback)
  • Cup and handle pattern developing on 4h chart with current handle formation
  • MACD histogram showing diminishing selling pressure on both timeframes

RISK FACTORS

  • Current price ($2.4877) is extended from ideal entry zone - patience required
  • Volume has been declining during the pullback, needs confirmation on breakout
  • 4h RSI at 59.4 suggests room for further consolidation before next leg up
  • Overall market sentiment could override technical setup

MEDIUM TERM OUTLOOK The 3-10 day outlook remains bullish with XRP showing strength in its uptrend structure. The current pullback to the $2.35-2.40 zone represents an optimal risk-reward buying opportunity for swing traders. The convergence of technical factors including Fibonacci levels, moving average support, and bullish divergences suggest the uptrend should resume toward the $2.55-2.70 target zone over the coming week.