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MARKET STRUCTURE: The overall trend on the 4h timeframe is bearish from recent highs around 3249, with the current phase being a correction. Strength is weakening as price approaches key support levels, indicating potential for a bounce or consolidation.

SWING SETUP:

  • Direction: BUY
  • Entry Zone: 3000-3050
  • Ideal Entry: 3017 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level)
  • Setup Type: Trend continuation bounce from support
  • Confidence: Medium

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

  • Stop Loss: 2950 (below recent swing low for risk management)
  • Target 1: 3100 (conservative, 3-5 days)
  • Target 2: 3200 (extended, 7-10 days)
  • Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:1.24 for Target 1, 1:2.73 for Target 2

KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:

  • Major Support: 2950 (recent swing low, critical for bullish structure)
  • Major Resistance: 3100 (recent swing high, key breakout level)
  • If price breaks 2950 → Bearish continuation expected
  • If price holds 3000 → Bullish bounce likely

DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS: No significant divergences detected on 1h or 4h timeframes; RSI and price are aligning with minor bullish momentum on 1h.

RISK FACTORS: Bearish trend on 4h could persist, low volume may indicate weak momentum, and break below 2950 would invalidate the bullish setup.