TRUMP Orta Vadeli AI Analizi
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MARKET STRUCTURE: TRUMP/USDT is in a bullish trend on both 4h and 1h timeframes, with price trading above key moving averages (EMA9 and EMA20) and ADX values above 25 indicating trend strength. The current phase is a consolidation near recent highs, with the trend likely in its middle stage based on sustained momentum and volume patterns.
SWING SETUP:
- Direction: BUY
- Entry Zone: 5.95 - 6.00
- Ideal Entry: 5.96
- Setup Type: Trend continuation on pullback
- Confidence: Medium
POSITION MANAGEMENT:
- Stop Loss: 5.85 (placed below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and recent swing low at 5.816)
- Target 1: 6.20 (conservative, based on previous 1h high; 3-5 days)
- Target 2: 6.30 (extended, using measured move projection; 7-10 days)
- Risk/Reward: 1:2.2 for Target 1, 1:3 for Target 2
KEY LEVELS & SCENARIOS:
- Major Support: 5.85 (confluence of Fibonacci 0.618 retracement and recent swing low; a hold here maintains bullish structure)
- Major Resistance: 6.06 (current 4h high), followed by 6.20 (previous 1h high)
- If price breaks above 6.06 → expect acceleration toward 6.20 and potentially 6.30
- If price holds above 5.85 → bullish trend remains valid for continuation
DIVERGENCES & PATTERNS:
- No significant bearish or bullish divergences detected between price and RSI/MACD on 1h or 4h timeframes.
- Chart patterns: A bullish consolidation pattern is forming on the 1h timeframe, with higher lows suggesting accumulation.
RISK FACTORS:
- Failure to hold the 5.85 support level could trigger a deeper correction toward 5.75, invalidating the setup.
- Overextension near resistance (6.06) may lead to increased volatility or false breakouts.
- Monitor volume: A drop in volume on up-moves could indicate weakening momentum.