Market Summary

TRX/USDT is in a mixed state with short-term bullish momentum on the 15m timeframe but the 1h trend remains bearish. The price is testing resistance at 0.3314, and confidence is low due to conflicting timeframes.

Market State

The 15m shows strong short-term momentum with RSI at 62.9, positive MACD histogram, and rising OBV, while the 1h remains in a downtrend with ADX indicating bearish control (minus_di above plus_di). Volume is improving on both timeframes, suggesting a potential trend shift, but confirmation is needed.

Key Levels

• Resistance: 0.3314, 0.3320
• Support: 0.3304, 0.3295

Scenarios

Bullish Scenario A break above 0.3320 with sustained volume could trigger a move toward 0.3336 (previous 1h high). Current indicators supporting this include the 15m RSI above 60, positive MACD, and rising CMF (0.4306). Contradicting this is the 1h ADX still showing bearish strength (minus_di > plus_di) and price below the 1h Ichimoku cloud. Confirmation needed: a 15m candle close above 0.3314 followed by a retest holding support.

Bearish Scenario A rejection at 0.3314 and a break below 0.3304 would target 0.3295 (1h support). Indicators supporting this include the 1h ADX strength (35.92) and negative MACD, plus the 15m Stoch RSI overbought (K=100, D=100) suggesting a potential pullback. Contradicting factors are improving volume (OBV rising on both timeframes) and 15m bullish momentum. Confirmation needed: a 15m candle close below 0.3304 with increasing selling volume.

Current Lean Neutral, with a slight bullish bias on the 15m, but the 1h trend prevents high conviction. The tight range between 0.3304 and 0.3320 leaves no clear edge without a breakout.

Trade Setup

• Direction: Neutral
• Confidence: Low
• Key Levels: Support at 0.3304, 0.3295 | Resistance at 0.3314, 0.3320
• Watch: A sustained break above 0.3320 would shift bias bullish; a break below 0.3304 would shift bias bearish.

Risks

• Invalidation: For a bullish view, failure to break above 0.3320. For a bearish view, failure to break below 0.3304.
• Warning: Conflicting timeframes may lead to choppy price action; avoid entering without clear confirmation.